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Comprehensive Description of Uncertainty in Measurement for Representation and Propagation with Scalable Precision

Darijani, Ali, Beyerer, Jürgen, Nasrollah, Zahra Sadat Hajseyed, Hoffmann, Luisa, Heizmann, Michael

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Probability theory has become the predominant framework for quantifying uncertainty across scientific and engineering disciplines, with a particular focus on measurement and control systems. However, the widespread reliance on simple Gaussian assumptions--particularly in control theory, manufacturing, and measurement systems--can result in incomplete representations and multistage lossy approximations of complex phenomena, including inaccurate propagation of uncertainty through multi stage processes. This work proposes a comprehensive yet computationally tractable framework for representing and propagating quantitative attributes arising in measurement systems using Probability Density Functions (PDFs). Recognizing the constraints imposed by finite memory in software systems, we advocate for the use of Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs), a principled extension of the familiar Gaussian framework, as they are universal approximators of PDFs whose complexity can be tuned to trade off approximation accuracy against memory and computation. From both mathematical and computational perspectives, GMMs enable high performance and, in many cases, closed form solutions of essential operations in control and measurement. The paper presents practical applications within manufacturing and measurement contexts especially circular factory, demonstrating how the GMMs framework supports accurate representation and propagation of measurement uncertainty and offers improved accuracy--compared to the traditional Gaussian framework--while keeping the computations tractable.


Scalable Learning of Multivariate Distributions via Coresets

Ding, Zeyu, Ickstadt, Katja, Klein, Nadja, Munteanu, Alexander, Omlor, Simon

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Efficient and scalable non-parametric or semi-parametric regression analysis and density estimation are of crucial importance to the fields of statistics and machine learning. However, available methods are limited in their ability to handle large-scale data. We address this issue by developing a novel coreset construction for multivariate conditional transformation models (MCTMs) to enhance their scalability and training efficiency. To the best of our knowledge, these are the first coresets for semi-parametric distributional models. Our approach yields substantial data reduction via importance sampling. It ensures with high probability that the log-likelihood remains within multiplicative error bounds of $(1\pm\varepsilon)$ and thereby maintains statistical model accuracy. Compared to conventional full-parametric models, where coresets have been incorporated before, our semi-parametric approach exhibits enhanced adaptability, particularly in scenarios where complex distributions and non-linear relationships are present, but not fully understood. To address numerical problems associated with normalizing logarithmic terms, we follow a geometric approximation based on the convex hull of input data. This ensures feasible, stable, and accurate inference in scenarios involving large amounts of data. Numerical experiments demonstrate substantially improved computational efficiency when handling large and complex datasets, thus laying the foundation for a broad range of applications within the statistics and machine learning communities.





Learning Superconductivity from Ordered and Disordered Material Structures Pin Chen

Neural Information Processing Systems

However, some critical aspects of it, such as the relationship between superconductivity and materials' chemical/structural features, still need to be understood. Recent successes of data-driven approaches in material science strongly inspire researchers to study this relationship with them, but a corresponding dataset is still lacking.


The Minimax Rate of HSIC Estimation for Translation-Invariant Kernels

Neural Information Processing Systems

Such embeddings induce the so-called maximum mean discrepancy (MMD; [Smola et al., 2007, Gretton et al., 2012]), which quantifies the discrepancy Many estimators for HSIC exist. The classical ones rely on U-statistics or V -statistics [Gretton et al., 2005, Quadrianto et al., 2009, Pfister et al., 2018] and are known to converge at a rate of Lower bounds for the related MMD are known [Tolstikhin et al., 2016], but the existing analysis considers radial kernels and relies on independent Gaussian distributions.